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The Frontier Moves Again
AI progress above and below the surface.
Nov 19
•
Keith Dear
9
4
3
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95% of AI Investments Generate Zero ROI
But also, 74% deliver positive ROI. Two reports, contradictory findings. What can we learn?
Nov 7
•
Keith Dear
2
1
Never tell me the Odds: Is your CEO Han Solo?
Probabilistic strategy, tactics, decisions require a mindset shift: stop hiding from the odds; start moving them.
Oct 7
•
Keith Dear
1
Prediction Centric Warfare
Notes and slides from my talk at DSEI yesterday.
Sep 10
•
Keith Dear
3
1
Everything is Prediction
From Ramsey to Yudkowsky, the case for making our bets explicit.
Sep 2
•
Keith Dear
5
9
1
Future Diplomat
Reimagining Diplomacy for 2035.
Aug 19
•
Keith Dear
4
1
What did you do in the AI Revolution, Daddy?
Pre-GPT-5, Post AGI? For too many, hope is the largest part of their AI strategy. We are still under-estimating the speed of AI progress, and the…
Aug 1
•
Keith Dear
2
1
UK Strategic Defence Review (SDR): Reviewing the Review & the Reactionariat.
The good, bad and ugly.
Jun 4
•
Keith Dear
26
5
2
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